Triggers
15 always-on evaluators run every 5 minutes against BTC and ETH positioning data. When one trips, an emergency insight is generated and posted to @gexlabnews. Cooldowns prevent duplicate alerts on the same event.
Gamma flip cross
gamma-flip-crossSpot crosses the strike where dealer net-gamma changes sign. Marks a regime shift — short-gamma below (dealers amplify moves) vs long-gamma above (dealers dampen them).
BTCarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 4d agoETHcooldown — 38m 53slast tick 1m agolast fire 3h agoOI mega-spike
oi-mega-spikeOne option strike sees an outlier jump in open interest vs its own 24h baseline. Usually a sizable single-counterparty block — a directional bet or a hedge.
BTCarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 2h agoFunding spike
funding-spikeOKX perp funding rate flips sign or magnitude-spikes vs its 24h baseline. Captures sudden positioning re-leveraging across perp longs/shorts.
BTCarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 3d agoETHarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 28d agoPin candidate forming
pin-candidate-formingA near-term expiry has its top-3 OI strikes clustered within ±2% of spot and in long-gamma territory. The setup that produces pin-to-strike on settle day.
BTCarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 11d agoETHarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 17d agoLiquidation cascade
liquidation-cascadeA 5-minute bucket of forced liquidations crosses a size threshold while spot moves in the same direction — or three consecutive same-side buckets do.
BTCarmedlast tick 1m agono fires in 24hETHarmedlast tick 1m agono fires in 24h25d skew flip
rr25d-skew-flipThe 25-delta call-vs-put pricing skew flips sign over a 4h window. Calls suddenly become richer than puts (or vice versa) — sentiment turn.
BTCarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 42h agoETHarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 2d agoIV vs RV divergence
iv-rv-divergenceThe 7-day implied/realized volatility ratio crosses into vol-seller paradise (deep undersold) or out of it. Marks when premium math flips on/off.
BTCarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 2d agoETHarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 2d agoExchange funding divergence
exchange-funding-divergenceOKX and MEXC perp funding annualized rates split wide with opposite signs. Institutional venue vs retail venue point different directions — bias mismatch.
BTCarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 10d agoETHarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 8d agoMax-pain distance extreme
max-pain-distance-extremeWithin 72h of a near-term expiry, spot sits more than 3% from max-pain on a $10M+ OI expiry. Dealer rebalancing pressure into settle.
BTCarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 4d agoETHarmedlast tick 1m agolast fire 42h agoTerm-structure inversion
term-structure-inversionWeekly ATM implied vol prices higher than the next monthly — backwardation. Front end is more uncertain than the back end: event hedging or crash-vol bid.
BTCcooldown — 9h 58mlast tick 1m agolast fire 2h agoETHarmedlast tick 6m agolast fire 17h agoFunding settle momentum
perp-funding-settle-momentumOKX funding rate jumps materially between consecutive 8-hour settles — magnitude shift or sign-flip on a session boundary. Discrete leverage reset.
BTCarmedlast tick 1m agono fires in 24hETHarmedlast tick 6m agono fires in 24hTaker flow spike
taker-flow-spikeNet premium paid by takers on a single strike over a rolling window spikes vs its 7-day baseline. Flags one-sided directional conviction — usually a buyer or seller making a large structured bet.
BTCno data yetlast tick 1m agono fires in 24hETHno data yetlast tick 6m agono fires in 24hAggressor divergence
aggressor-divergenceOpen interest on a strike moves materially but the taker tape is nearly 50/50 buyer vs seller. OI moved without a clear aggressor — likely MM-internal position transfer rather than real flow.
BTCno data yetlast tick 1m agono fires in 24hETHno data yetlast tick 6m agono fires in 24hCross-expiry tension
cross-expiry-tensionFront-weekly and back-monthly expiries show opposite flow directions (cosine distance > 0.6). Calendar spread structure is being built — one leg is a hedge, the other is directional.
BTCno data yetlast tick 1m agono fires in 24hETHno data yetlast tick 6m agono fires in 24hBlock-trade flood
block-trade-floodBlock trade count in a rolling window exceeds the 95th percentile of a 7-day baseline. OTC-size positions landing in a tight window — institutional accumulation or distribution event.
BTCno data yetlast tick 1m agono fires in 24hETHno data yetlast tick 6m agono fires in 24h