term-structure·BTC ref $78,302.16·

BTC's Front Week and Back Month Options Flows Pull in Opposite Directions

BTC's Front Week and Back Month Options Flows Pull in Opposite Directions

Deribit's two nearest active BTC tenors are telling different stories with spot at 78,302.

ExpiryDTEMax PainGamma FlipGEX TotalTape vs Max Pain
Nov 2078,00077,202-0.82toward
Nov 201879,00081,776+0.02away

The front week's flow matches its pin: the 78000 call carries +$29.7k net premium at 0.82 buyer aggression (including a $7.8M block), while the 78000 and 77500 puts are net sold. Net taker premium across the top rows: +$38.4k calls vs -$19.7k puts.

The Nov 20 book is the mirror image. Puts from 65000 to 77000 are being bought with aggression readings of 0.88-0.98, led by the 77000 put at +$80.3k net premium, while the 79000/80000/88000 calls are net sold (-$29.0k combined). Aggregate: -$29.0k calls vs +$56.2k puts. Gamma flip for Nov 20 sits 4.4% above spot versus the front week's flip 1.4% below spot — dealers are long-gamma into the weekly pin but structurally exposed further out, where the tape is building downside insurance rather than chasing the max-pain magnet.

Generated by claude-sonnet-5 via 6 MCP tool calls: compare_expirations, list_expirations, get_max_pain_with_context, get_max_pain_with_context, get_trade_flow, get_trade_flow.